“Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV): Forecast in Asia-Pacific Markets to 2028 - PRNewswire” plus 2 more

“Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV): Forecast in Asia-Pacific Markets to 2028 - PRNewswire” plus 2 more


Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV): Forecast in Asia-Pacific Markets to 2028 - PRNewswire

Posted: 31 Dec 2019 12:30 PM PST

DUBLIN, Dec. 31, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- The "Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV): Forecast in Asia-Pacific Markets to 2028" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.

Human Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) is an enveloped, single-stranded, negative-sense RNA orthopneumovirus belonging to the family of Pneumoviridae. Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) is the leading cause of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) in infants, with a peak age of hospitalization between 2-3 months of age. Severe respiratory disease can manifest as bronchiolitis and pneumonia, which can progress to respiratory failure or death in rare occasions. Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) is also an important cause of hospitalizations and deaths in elderly adults.

The Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44.7% from US$36.88m in 2018 to US$1.48bn by 2028 across the five growth markets (*5GM - Australia, India, Japan, South Korea and urban China) in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region. The main driver of growth will be the launch of new products to prevent medically-significant Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) infections, including the first products to be licensed for Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) in India and urban China.

The level of unmet need in the Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) marketplace is high in India and urban China, where there are currently no prophylactic or therapeutic options. The launch of the first Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) products in 2023 in urban China and 2024 in India is expected to be a strong driver of growth for the 5GM over the forecast period, especially considering the large potential patient populations in these markets.

Research reveals that the current standard of care and only available product for Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV), AstraZeneca/AbbVie's Synagis (palivizumab), is likely to be displaced during the forecast period. Synagis is currently the only licensed product in Australia, South Korea and Japan for prevention of Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) infections in young children, but its high price and restrictive label have narrowed its clinical applications to only the highest-risk infants.

In addition, the requirement for five monthly injections of Synagis is a substantial barrier to full patient compliance. Sales of Synagis are expected to drop substantially after the launch of AstraZeneca/Sanofi's pipeline candidate mAb MEDI8897 in 2024, which is projected to reach US$629m in annual revenue by 2028. MEDI8897 will also provide the first prophylactic mAb option for patients in India and urban China.

It is likely that several first-in-class products for the management of Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) will coexist simultaneously by 2028, including both vaccines and antivirals for treatment of severe or breakthrough Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) infections. However, the global impact of new products in reducing the overall Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) burden will depend on the cost-effectiveness of these drugs, as well as how vaccines are eventually integrated into national immunization policies throughout the 5GM - Australia, India, Japan, South Korea and urban China.

The report helps in answering the following question with regards to Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) and its therapeutic market in Asia Pacific.

  • How will the Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) therapeutic market landscape in the 5GM (India, urban China, Australia, South Korea and Japan) change from 2018-2028?
  • What are the most promising late-stage pipeline drugs for RSV?
  • How do the clinical and commercial attributes of late-stage pipeline therapies compare with one another and against existing treatment options?
  • What are the remaining unmet needs in Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) treatment management?
  • What drivers and barriers will affect Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) therapeutics sales in the 5GM - Australia, India, Japan, South Korea and urban China over the forecast period?

Scope

  • Overview of RSV, including epidemiology, etiology, pathophysiology, symptoms, diagnosis, and current management strategies.
  • Topline RSV market revenue from 2018-2028. Annual cost of therapy (ACOT) and major pipeline product sales in this forecast period are included.
  • Key topics covered include current treatment and prophylactic options, unmet needs and opportunities, and the drivers and barriers affecting RSV therapeutics sales in the 5GM.
  • Pipeline analysis: comprehensive data split across different phases, emerging novel trends under development, synopses of innovative early-stage projects, and detailed analysis of late-stage pipeline products.
  • Analysis of the current and future market competition in the global RSV therapeutics and prophylactics market. Insightful review of the key industry drivers, restraints and challenges. Each trend is independently researched to provide qualitative analysis of its implications.

Companies Mentioned

  • Ark Biosciences
  • AstraZeneca
  • Bavarian Nordic
  • Enanta Pharmaceuticals
  • GlaxoSmithKline
  • Janssen
  • Merck & Co.
  • Novavax
  • Pfizer
  • Pulmocide
  • ReViral

For more information about this report visit https://www.researchandmarkets.com/r/30hotb

About ResearchAndMarkets.com
ResearchAndMarkets.com is the world's leading source for international market research reports and market data. We provide you with the latest data on international and regional markets, key industries, the top companies, new products and the latest trends.

Research and Markets also offers Custom Research services providing focused, comprehensive and tailored research.

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What parents need to know about potentially dangerous RSV in babies - GMA

Posted: 31 Dec 2019 10:28 AM PST

[unable to retrieve full-text content]What parents need to know about potentially dangerous RSV in babies  GMA

Should physicians prescribe antivirals to patients at high risk for flu-related complications more than 2 days after symptom onset? - Healio

Posted: 20 Dec 2019 07:01 AM PST

Click here to read the Cover Story, "Bad flu seasons test US hospitals"

POINT

Antivirals should be prescribed to high-risk patients even if they have been sick for more than 2 days.

Amesh A. Adalja

The release of the latest iteration of the Infectious Diseases Society of America guidelines on the management of influenza are a welcome addition that clinicians can employ to optimally diagnose and treat patients with influenza, an infectious disease that kills thousands of Americans annually. Of the myriad topics covered in the guidelines, one of the most important is antiviral treatments.

Specific antiviral treatments for influenza have existed since the 1960s, with the approval of the first adamantane class antiviral, but recent decades have shown increasing use and familiarity with these drugs as more effective, safer classes of neuraminidase inhibitors (NAIs) and polymerase inhibitors were developed.

An important fact to remember is that randomized trials with NAIs, which were mostly performed before the 2009 pandemic, were placebo controlled in healthy outpatients with uncomplicated influenza. These trials largely showed a 1- to 2-day decrease in duration of symptoms when given within a 48-hour window of symptoms. This 48-hour window, at the time of the pandemic and even today, is a medical dictum that has been seared into the minds of physicians.

Although the 48-hour parameter is often remembered, the type of patients included in the randomized trials is not. Healthy outpatients with uncomplicated influenza are not equivalent to hospitalized, pregnant, immunosuppressed or medically complex patients who may have pneumonia, respiratory distress or respiratory failure. Applying a 48-hour treatment window in a disparate group of patients to a whole other group of patients is not warranted and not logically defensible.

Randomized trials in at-risk populations in which a placebo is used would be ethically difficult, so, in the modern era, observational studies are where new data in these populations will arise. These data, although less valued than randomized control data, are not devoid of value. In fact, these data illustrate that in high-risk patients such as pregnant women, antiviral therapy can be lifesaving. Although it is true that more prompt antiviral therapy is preferred — as is the case with the treatment of most infectious diseases — later treatment is not without benefit.

Similar to the NAIs, the polymerase inhibitor baloxavir was initially tested in uncomplicated patients and produced similar benefits. The FDA originally approved the drug in patients aged 12 years or older with acute uncomplicated influenza, and now has approved it for patients aged 12 years or older who are at high risk for influenza-related complications. In both cases, the approval was for patients who have been symptomatic for up to 48 hours.

The guidelines appropriately recommend treatment in hospitalized patients, patients with severe or progressive illness and patients with chronic medical conditions; immunocompromised patients; pregnant women (through 2 weeks postpartum); children aged younger than 2 years; and adults aged 65 years and older, irrespective of illness duration.

Influenza is a disease that poses the greatest pandemic risk, and as the 2017-2018 season demonstrated, the health care industry is not yet adept at managing it. Antiviral prescribing will be a pillar of pandemic planning, and the first step at being able to use these tools in a pandemic is being able to use them appropriately on a daily basis.

Amesh A. Adalja, MD, is an IDSA member and senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. His Twitter handle is @AmeshAA. Disclosure: Adalja reports no relevant financial disclosures.

COUNTER

The IDSA guidelines raise more questions than they answer about antiviral treatment.

Jeremy Brown

Clinical practice guidelines are important documents, and their recommendations often have a deep reach within the medical specialty they serve. But sometimes they can raise more questions than they answer, which is what happened to me before I had finished the very first page of the IDSA guidelines for influenza published in December 2018.

The guidelines note: "Early treatment with antivirals reduces the duration of symptoms and risk of some complications (bronchitis, otitis media, and pneumonia) and hospitalization, and may decrease mortality among high-risk populations." There are four references provided to support this statement; three come to the opposite conclusion and the fourth is at odds with prior studies. The first, a 2012 study by Hsu and colleagues, concluded that the overall body of evidence about the effect of oseltamivir on mortality is "limited by risk for confounding and selection, reporting, and publication bias." Moreover, "the confidence in the estimates of the effects [on mortality] for decision making about using NAIs is low to very low." That does not seem supportive.

The second, a 2014 Cochrane review led by Jefferson and colleagues, could not find "any credible evidence that either oseltamivir or zanamivir reduced the risk of complications of influenza, particularly pneumonia, nor reduce risk of hospitalization or death." Then comes a 2013 study of hospitalized patients by Muthuri and colleagues, and things start to get really weird. It found no significant difference in mortality when comparing any NAI treatment with none. Yet when comparing early and late NAI treatment, it found a significant (and rather impressive) reduction in mortality, "albeit with significant publication bias." It would be challenging to find a plausible biological mechanism to explain these differences, so the authors suggest it was a result of "confounding related to treatment propensity." This surely questions the analysis in the first place. And finally, a 2014 meta-analysis by Muthuri and colleagues reported a very different result: When comparing any NAI treatment with none, there was a significant decrease in mortality (though not in children, and not when the NAI was started more than 2 days after the onset of symptoms).

That's not all. The most common scenario facing an emergency physician or primary care provider is not whether to treat a severely ill influenza patient with NAIs. Rather, it is whether to start at all in an otherwise healthy patient. In 2009, the IDSA suggested considering NAIs, and the strength of this recommendation was A-I. When facing the same clinical question over a decade later, the advice was the same, but the strength of the recommendation had decreased to C-I; that is a drop from good evidence to poor evidence. So, we are more ignorant about the role for NAIs than we were 10 years ago.

When treating the very sickest influenza patients, providers will continue to use NAIs because, well, maybe they can help. That is certainly not the case for the otherwise heathy patient in whom they should not be prescribed. Even when — and I know this is difficult — they ask for them by name.

References:

Hsu, et al. Ann Intern Med. 2012;doi:10.7326/0003-4819-156-7-201204030-00411.

Jefferson, et al. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2014;doi:10.1002/14651858.CD008965.pub4.

Muthuri SG, et al. J Infect Dis. 2013;doi:10.1093/infdis/jis726.

Muthuri SG, et al. Lancet Respir Med. 2014;doi:10.1016/S2213-2600(14)70041-4.

Jeremy Brown, MD, is an emergency physician and director of the Office of Emergency Care Research at the NIH. His most recent book, Influenza: The Hundred-Year Hunt to Cure the Deadliest Disease in History, published by Simon and Schuster, is now out in paperback. Brown can be reached at jeremy.brown@nih.gov. Disclosure: Brown reports no relevant financial disclosures. Disclaimer: The views expressed by Brown are his own and do not represent those of the federal government.

Click here to read the Cover Story, "Bad flu seasons test US hospitals"

POINT

Antivirals should be prescribed to high-risk patients even if they have been sick for more than 2 days.

Amesh A. Adalja

The release of the latest iteration of the Infectious Diseases Society of America guidelines on the management of influenza are a welcome addition that clinicians can employ to optimally diagnose and treat patients with influenza, an infectious disease that kills thousands of Americans annually. Of the myriad topics covered in the guidelines, one of the most important is antiviral treatments.

Specific antiviral treatments for influenza have existed since the 1960s, with the approval of the first adamantane class antiviral, but recent decades have shown increasing use and familiarity with these drugs as more effective, safer classes of neuraminidase inhibitors (NAIs) and polymerase inhibitors were developed.

An important fact to remember is that randomized trials with NAIs, which were mostly performed before the 2009 pandemic, were placebo controlled in healthy outpatients with uncomplicated influenza. These trials largely showed a 1- to 2-day decrease in duration of symptoms when given within a 48-hour window of symptoms. This 48-hour window, at the time of the pandemic and even today, is a medical dictum that has been seared into the minds of physicians.

Although the 48-hour parameter is often remembered, the type of patients included in the randomized trials is not. Healthy outpatients with uncomplicated influenza are not equivalent to hospitalized, pregnant, immunosuppressed or medically complex patients who may have pneumonia, respiratory distress or respiratory failure. Applying a 48-hour treatment window in a disparate group of patients to a whole other group of patients is not warranted and not logically defensible.

Randomized trials in at-risk populations in which a placebo is used would be ethically difficult, so, in the modern era, observational studies are where new data in these populations will arise. These data, although less valued than randomized control data, are not devoid of value. In fact, these data illustrate that in high-risk patients such as pregnant women, antiviral therapy can be lifesaving. Although it is true that more prompt antiviral therapy is preferred — as is the case with the treatment of most infectious diseases — later treatment is not without benefit.

Similar to the NAIs, the polymerase inhibitor baloxavir was initially tested in uncomplicated patients and produced similar benefits. The FDA originally approved the drug in patients aged 12 years or older with acute uncomplicated influenza, and now has approved it for patients aged 12 years or older who are at high risk for influenza-related complications. In both cases, the approval was for patients who have been symptomatic for up to 48 hours.

The guidelines appropriately recommend treatment in hospitalized patients, patients with severe or progressive illness and patients with chronic medical conditions; immunocompromised patients; pregnant women (through 2 weeks postpartum); children aged younger than 2 years; and adults aged 65 years and older, irrespective of illness duration.

Influenza is a disease that poses the greatest pandemic risk, and as the 2017-2018 season demonstrated, the health care industry is not yet adept at managing it. Antiviral prescribing will be a pillar of pandemic planning, and the first step at being able to use these tools in a pandemic is being able to use them appropriately on a daily basis.

Amesh A. Adalja, MD, is an IDSA member and senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. His Twitter handle is @AmeshAA. Disclosure: Adalja reports no relevant financial disclosures.

PAGE BREAK

COUNTER

The IDSA guidelines raise more questions than they answer about antiviral treatment.

Jeremy Brown

Clinical practice guidelines are important documents, and their recommendations often have a deep reach within the medical specialty they serve. But sometimes they can raise more questions than they answer, which is what happened to me before I had finished the very first page of the IDSA guidelines for influenza published in December 2018.

The guidelines note: "Early treatment with antivirals reduces the duration of symptoms and risk of some complications (bronchitis, otitis media, and pneumonia) and hospitalization, and may decrease mortality among high-risk populations." There are four references provided to support this statement; three come to the opposite conclusion and the fourth is at odds with prior studies. The first, a 2012 study by Hsu and colleagues, concluded that the overall body of evidence about the effect of oseltamivir on mortality is "limited by risk for confounding and selection, reporting, and publication bias." Moreover, "the confidence in the estimates of the effects [on mortality] for decision making about using NAIs is low to very low." That does not seem supportive.

The second, a 2014 Cochrane review led by Jefferson and colleagues, could not find "any credible evidence that either oseltamivir or zanamivir reduced the risk of complications of influenza, particularly pneumonia, nor reduce risk of hospitalization or death." Then comes a 2013 study of hospitalized patients by Muthuri and colleagues, and things start to get really weird. It found no significant difference in mortality when comparing any NAI treatment with none. Yet when comparing early and late NAI treatment, it found a significant (and rather impressive) reduction in mortality, "albeit with significant publication bias." It would be challenging to find a plausible biological mechanism to explain these differences, so the authors suggest it was a result of "confounding related to treatment propensity." This surely questions the analysis in the first place. And finally, a 2014 meta-analysis by Muthuri and colleagues reported a very different result: When comparing any NAI treatment with none, there was a significant decrease in mortality (though not in children, and not when the NAI was started more than 2 days after the onset of symptoms).

That's not all. The most common scenario facing an emergency physician or primary care provider is not whether to treat a severely ill influenza patient with NAIs. Rather, it is whether to start at all in an otherwise healthy patient. In 2009, the IDSA suggested considering NAIs, and the strength of this recommendation was A-I. When facing the same clinical question over a decade later, the advice was the same, but the strength of the recommendation had decreased to C-I; that is a drop from good evidence to poor evidence. So, we are more ignorant about the role for NAIs than we were 10 years ago.

When treating the very sickest influenza patients, providers will continue to use NAIs because, well, maybe they can help. That is certainly not the case for the otherwise heathy patient in whom they should not be prescribed. Even when — and I know this is difficult — they ask for them by name.

References:

Hsu, et al. Ann Intern Med. 2012;doi:10.7326/0003-4819-156-7-201204030-00411.

Jefferson, et al. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2014;doi:10.1002/14651858.CD008965.pub4.

Muthuri SG, et al. J Infect Dis. 2013;doi:10.1093/infdis/jis726.

Muthuri SG, et al. Lancet Respir Med. 2014;doi:10.1016/S2213-2600(14)70041-4.

Jeremy Brown, MD, is an emergency physician and director of the Office of Emergency Care Research at the NIH. His most recent book, Influenza: The Hundred-Year Hunt to Cure the Deadliest Disease in History, published by Simon and Schuster, is now out in paperback. Brown can be reached at jeremy.brown@nih.gov. Disclosure: Brown reports no relevant financial disclosures. Disclaimer: The views expressed by Brown are his own and do not represent those of the federal government.

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